Polybius wrote several works, the majority of which are lost. His earliest book was a biography of the Greek statesman
Philopoemen, which was used as a source by
Plutarch. The Polybian text is lost. In addition, he wrote what appears to have been an extensive treatise entitled
Tactics, which detailed Roman and Greek military tactics. Small parts of this work may survive in his major
Histories, but the work itself is also lost. Another missing work was a historical monograph on the events of the
Numantine War. The largest work was of course, his
Histories, which we have mostly intact but with some missing books and fragmentary material.
Livy makes reference to and uses him as source material in his own narrative. Polybius is one of the first historians to attempt to present history as a sequence of causes and effects, based upon a careful examination of tradition and conducted with keen criticism. He narrated his History upon what he had himself seen and upon the communications of eye-witnesses and actors in the events. In a classic story of human behavior, Polybius captures it all: nationalism,
xenophobia, duplicitous politics, horrible battles, brutality, etc.; along with loyalty, valor, bravery, intelligence, reason and resourcefulness. With his eye for detail and characteristic critically reasoned style, Polybius provided a unified view of history rather than a chronology.
Polybius is considered by some to be the successor of
Thucydides in terms of objectivity and critical reasoning, and the forefather of scholarly, painstaking historical research in the modern scientific sense. According to this view, his work sets forth the course of occurrences with clearness, penetration, sound judgment and, among the circumstances affecting the result, lays especial stress on the geographical conditions. It belongs, therefore, to the greatest productions of ancient historical writing. The writer of the
Oxford Companion to Classical Literature (
1937) praises him for his "earnest devotion to truth" and for his systematic seeking for the cause of events.
Recently, Polybius's writing has come under a more critical assessment. In
Peter Green's view (
Alexander to Actium), he is often partisan and aims to justify his and his father's careers. He goes out of his way to portray the Achean politician
Callicrates in a bad light; thus, leading the reader to suspect that this is because Callicrates was responsible for his being sent to Rome as a hostage. More fundamentally, he — as first a hostage in Rome, client to the Scipios and then finally as a collaborator with Roman rule after
146 BC — is not free to express his true opinions. Green suggests that we should always keep in mind that he was explaining Rome to a Greek audience to convince them of the necessity of accepting Roman rule – which he believed as inevitable. Nonetheless, for Green, Polybius's histories remain invaluable and the best source for the era he covers.
Ron Mellor also agrees that Polybius is partisan who, out of loyalty to Scipio, vilified Scipio's opponents (the historians of Ancient Rome).
Polybius introduced some theories in
The Histories. In it, he also explained the theory of
anacyclosis, or cycle of government, an idea that Plato had already explored.